Voter approval of President Trump has hit 50%, the magical and much-needed baselevel for reelection, and he is leading the top Democratic presidential candidates in the 2020 presidential race, according to a new national survey.
In the latest Zogby Analytics survey shared with Secrets, Trump is above water on his approvals, 50% positive to 48% negative, a key level his political team has been pushing to get him to.
What’s more, he is building support with independents, Hispanics, and women, according to pollster Jonathan Zogby.
“Trump is doing well and winning back support with important swing voters: Independents (42% at least somewhat approve/52% at least somewhat disapprove), Hispanics (45% at least somewhat approve/55% at least somewhat disapprove) and women (44% at least somewhat approve/53% at least somewhat disapprove),” he said in the survey analysis.
And as the economy continues to improve, Zogby said that the president is still doing well with part of the traditional Democratic base.
“As has been the case for the past few months in our polling, Trump performs well with the most vulnerable voters — lost a job (65% at least somewhat approve/33% at least somewhat disapprove); afraid of losing a job (52% at least somewhat approve/45% at least somewhat disapprove); at a job that pays less (52% at least somewhat approve/47% at least somewhat disapprove) and gone without food for 24 hours (57% at least somewhat approve/44% at least somewhat disapprove),” he said.
That, added with Trump’s 51% support with millennials and 56% support with Generation X, has helped to give him an edge over the top five Democratic candidates fighting it out in Iowa.
Reaching about 50% is key on Election Day and seen by pollsters as the minimum to win reelection. On former President Barack Obama’s 2012 reelection day, he had a 50.1% approval rating. Former President George W. Bush was at 49.5% on his 2004 election day.
Against former Vice President Joe Biden, Trump is up 46%-45% with likely voters. He leads former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg 44%-43%, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 47%-45%, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren 47%-43%, and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg 45%-41%.
“Trump continues to win narrow races against the Democratic front runners,” said Zogby.
But, he added, Trump needs more support from women and independents to take a commanding lead.
“Riding high on his improved numbers with Independents, which could be the result from independents negative reaction to the House impeachment, Trump is beating Biden and Buttigieg and is tied with Warren among independent voters. But Trump is not entirely out of the woods: Sanders and Bloomberg are winning with independents when matched-up against Trump,” said Zogby.
Author: Paul Bedard
Source: Washington Examiner: Trump jumps to 50% approval, beating Biden, Sanders, Bloomberg, Warren: Poll